Paywall CTA to web checkout: -11.9% conversion, ~+20% net proceeds

WinnerPaywall · 2025-05

Sending the paywall button to web checkout instead of Apple's in-app purchase cut initial conversion by 11.9% but raised net proceeds by about 19.85%.

Superwall ran these early tests across US iOS apps after the 2025 App Store ruling and published the pooled data on the Superwall blog.

Initial conversion -11.9%; net proceeds about +19.85%
  • Initial conversion: -11.9% (negative). Switching from app to browser adds friction.
  • Net proceeds: about +19.85%, because web payments skip Apple's 30% fee.
  • Superwall's model assumes trial-to-paid is the same on web. If it rises 10%, it estimates net proceeds could rise about 32%.
  • For apps on Apple's 15% Small Business rate, Superwall estimates web checkout would cut net proceeds by about 1.3% at current trial-to-paid rates.

Control

A standard in-app paywall. Tapping the button started Apple's in-app purchase flow.

Variant

The same paywall, but the button opened an external browser with Superwall's web checkout. After paying, users returned to the app via a deep link.

Why it likely won

Our reading of the result, not the practitioner's claim.

  • Leaving the app for a browser and typing payment details is harder than a one-tap Apple purchase, so fewer users finish.
  • Each web sale keeps much more revenue, which more than makes up for the lost conversions at a 30% fee.
  • At a 15% fee the margin gain is smaller, so the conversion drop can wipe it out.

Caveats: Early data pooled across several US iOS apps; sample size and duration were not shared. The proceeds figure is a model that assumes trial-to-paid stays the same, and refund and chargeback effects were not yet known. Superwall sells the web checkout used.

Who ran it

Superwall ran this test. Source: Superwall blog. The numbers are theirs; the summary and commentary on this page are ours.

Read the original source →

How to run this test on your app

Hypothesis
If we send our paywall button to web checkout instead of Apple IAP, then net proceeds will rise because we avoid the App Store fee, even if fewer users finish checkout.
Primary metric
Net proceeds per paywall viewer
Guardrails
  • Initial conversion
  • Trial-to-paid
  • Refund and chargeback rate
Who should test it
US iOS apps paying Apple's 30% fee. Apps on the 15% Small Business rate may lose money unless web trial-to-paid improves.

Questions

Will web checkout always make more money?

No. In this early data it did at a 30% Apple fee.

At the 15% Small Business rate, Superwall estimated a small loss unless trial-to-paid improves.

Why did conversion drop?

Users have to leave the app, use a browser and pay outside Apple's one-tap flow. That extra friction loses some buyers.

What else should I track?

Trial-to-paid, refunds and chargebacks. Superwall said these were still unknown when it published.

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