Low-stock & Scarcity A/B Tests: What 7 Results Show

All 7 measured low-stock and scarcity tests in this archive were recorded as wins, but the biggest one went the other way: Dave Diederen replaced "Almost Out of Stock" with "In Stock" and gained +16.78% revenue per visitor.

The pattern is that short, honest scarcity lines near Add to Cart helped, but a warning that is already in place can be worth testing without.

Seven results is a small set, and six of them are product page tests from Dave Diederen and Oliver Kenyon.

Treat it as a direction to test, not a rule. The grid lists every result and idea.

measured results
0–0won vs lost or flat
ideas to test

What counts as scarcity messaging

This collection covers low-stock lines under the Add to Cart button, "selling fast" labels, % sold progress bars, and stock-level copy in the buy box.

Countdown timers have their own countdown timer hub.

The win/loss record

7 wins, 0 losses recorded. Six tests added or strengthened scarcity, and one removed it. The removal produced the largest percentage lift.

Where scarcity was tested

  • Product page: 6
  • Checkout: 1

Biggest wins and their numbers

Adding or sharpening scarcity

Oliver Kenyon describes both wins as authentic or brand-aligned scarcity, which is the common thread: real stock levels, written in the store's voice.

Removing scarcity

Dave Diederen's "In Stock" test gained +16.78% RPV, +5.72% CVR and +10.46% AOV.

The post doesn't explain why the reassuring version won.

Tests that lost or were flat

None were recorded. The "In Stock" result is the closest thing to a loss for scarcity, since the control was the scarcity message.

Design patterns that won

  • One short line under Add to Cart or in the buy box.
  • "Selling fast" framing rather than a bare "Low stock".
  • Real stock, in the brand's tone.
  • A visual % sold bar when paired with a real sale.

Ideas not yet measured

The 25 ideas include Kasper Dolk's "Only X left at this price" line under sizes and a "1 of 50" limited-edition badge, and Dave Diederen's stock tracker that turns orange under 10 units.

Josh Thompson's low-stock counter ideas come with claimed results but no test data.

How to add scarcity messaging on Shopify

Most themes have an inventory or stock-level block in the product template that shows a message below a set quantity.

Edit the copy there, or use an app for % sold bars. Only show stock levels that are true.

How to test it on your store

Hypothesis: a short, honest "selling fast" line under Add to Cart will raise conversion.

If you already show low-stock warnings, also test "In Stock" against them.

Measure revenue per visitor and AOV, and size it with the sample size calculator.

Questions

Does low-stock messaging increase sales?

In this archive, six tests that added or sharpened scarcity all won, for example Dave Diederen's 'Selling Out Fast' banner at +8.04% conversion rate.

But Dave's test replacing 'Almost Out of Stock' with 'In Stock' won bigger, at +16.78% revenue per visitor.

Is fake scarcity worth testing?

The winning tests here used real stock levels.

Oliver Kenyon's wins were described as authentic or brand-aligned scarcity, and Shopify stock blocks can show true inventory.

Fake scarcity also carries legal and trust risks.

Where should a low-stock message go?

Directly under Add to Cart or in the buy box.

Dave Diederen's 'Low stock - selling fast' under Add to Cart gained +2.90% conversion rate, and Oliver Kenyon's scarcity text below Add to Cart was forecast at $44,751 per month.